How does the MLB Game Simulator work?

The MLB Game Simulator uses at-bat-by-at-bat modeling, pitcher data, and player stats to predict outcomes, scores, and performances.

Are MLB predictions updated daily?

Yes. Baseball predictions and player stat projections are updated daily to reflect pitching matchups, lineups, and recent performance.

How accurate are the MLB predictions?

Accuracy varies by day and matchup. We publish performance summaries so you can track results over time.

How often are predictions refreshed?

Predictions refresh daily and may update during the day when key injuries or depth chart changes occur.

MLB Predictions for 10/1/2024

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Odds: Line | O/U | Money Line

10/1/2024 MLB Games
Time *ET	Matchup	Prediction	Actual	Result
2:32 PM	Detroit Tigers @ Houston Astros Tarik Skubal vs Framber Valdez -142 or 58.7% +/- Lineups Matt Vierling 3B Justyn-Henry Malloy DH Riley Greene LF Andy Ibanez 2B Wenceel Perez RF Spencer Torkelson 1B Parker Meadows CF Jake Rogers C Trey Sweeney SS Tarik Skubal P Jose Altuve 2B Yordan Alvarez DH Kyle Tucker RF Alex Bregman 3B Yainer Diaz C Jeremy Pena SS Victor Caratini 1B Mauricio Dubon LF Jake Meyers CF Framber Valdez P	Houston Astros WIN 56.2% of sims by 0.3 Prediction	Detroit Tigers wins 3-1
4:08 PM	Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles Cole Ragans vs Corbin Burnes -148 or 59.7% +/- Lineups Michael Massey 2B Bobby Witt SS Vinnie Pasquantino DH Salvador Perez C Yuli Gurriel 1B MJ Melendez LF Tommy Pham RF Kyle Isbel CF Maikel Garcia 3B Cole Ragans P Gunnar Henderson SS Jordan Westburg 2B Anthony Santander RF Ryan Mountcastle 1B Adley Rutschman DH Colton Cowser LF Ramon Urias 3B Cedric Mullins CF James McCann C Corbin Burnes P	Baltimore Orioles WIN 53.2% of sims by 0.2 Prediction	Kansas City Royals wins 1-0
5:32 PM	New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers Luis Severino vs Freddy Peralta -148 or 59.7% +/- Lineups Francisco Lindor SS Jose Iglesias 2B Brandon Nimmo LF Mark Vientos 3B Pete Alonso 1B Jesse Winker DH Starling Marte RF Tyrone Taylor CF Francisco Alvarez C Luis Severino P Brice Turang 2B Jackson Chourio LF William Contreras C Garrett Mitchell CF Willy Adames SS Jake Bauers DH Rhys Hoskins 1B Sal Frelick RF Joey Ortiz 3B Freddy Peralta P	Milwaukee Brewers WIN 58.6% of sims by 0.6 Prediction	New York Mets wins 8-4
8:38 PM	Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres AJ Smith-Shawver vs Michael King -198 or 66.4% +/- Lineups Michael Harris CF Ozzie Albies 2B Marcell Ozuna DH Matt Olson 1B Jorge Soler RF Ramon Laureano LF Travis d'Arnaud C Gio Urshela 3B Orlando Arcia SS AJ Smith-Shawver P Luis Arraez DH Fernando Tatis RF Jurickson Profar LF Manny Machado 3B Jackson Merrill CF Xander Bogaerts SS Jake Cronenworth 2B Donovan Solano 1B Kyle Higashioka C Michael King P	San Diego Padres WIN 61.7% of sims by 1.0 Prediction	San Diego Padres wins 4-0

Legend/Totals

Correct Picks	1 (25.0%)
Incorrect Picks	3 (75.0%)
Final Margin within 5 Runs	0 (0.0%)
Beat the Spread	3 (75.0%)

MLB Predictions for 10/1/2024

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