How does the MLB Game Simulator work?

The MLB Game Simulator uses at-bat-by-at-bat modeling, pitcher data, and player stats to predict outcomes, scores, and performances.

Are MLB predictions updated daily?

Yes. Baseball predictions and player stat projections are updated daily to reflect pitching matchups, lineups, and recent performance.

How accurate are the MLB predictions?

Accuracy varies by day and matchup. We publish performance summaries so you can track results over time.

How often are predictions refreshed?

Predictions refresh daily and may update during the day when key injuries or depth chart changes occur.

MLB Predictions for 10/4/2025

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Odds: Line | O/U | Money Line

10/4/2025 MLB Games
Time *ET	Matchup	Prediction	Actual	Result
2:08 PM	Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers Matthew Boyd vs Freddy Peralta -142 or 58.7% +/- Lineups Michael Busch 1B Nico Hoerner 2B Kyle Tucker DH Seiya Suzuki RF Ian Happ LF Carson Kelly C Pete Crow-Armstrong CF Dansby Swanson SS Matt Shaw 3B Matthew Boyd P Jackson Chourio LF Brice Turang 2B William Contreras C Christian Yelich DH Andrew Vaughn 1B Sal Frelick RF Caleb Durbin 3B Blake Perkins CF Joey Ortiz SS Freddy Peralta P	Milwaukee Brewers WIN 57.3% of sims by 0.4 Prediction	Milwaukee Brewers wins 9-3
4:08 PM	New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays Luis Gil vs Kevin Gausman -118 or 54.1% +/- Lineups Trent Grisham CF Aaron Judge RF Cody Bellinger LF Ben Rice 1B Giancarlo Stanton DH Jazz Chisholm 2B Ryan McMahon 3B Anthony Volpe SS Austin Wells C Luis Gil P George Springer DH Nathan Lukes RF Vladimir Guerrero 1B Addison Barger 3B Alejandro Kirk C Daulton Varsho CF Anthony Santander LF Andres Gimenez SS Ernie Clement 2B Kevin Gausman P	Toronto Blue Jays WIN 55.0% of sims by 0.2 Prediction	Toronto Blue Jays wins 10-1
6:38 PM	Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies Shohei Ohtani vs Cristopher Sanchez -115 or 53.5% +/- Lineups Shohei Ohtani DH Mookie Betts SS Teoscar Hernandez RF Freddie Freeman 1B Tommy Edman 2B Enrique Hernandez 3B Alex Call LF Andy Pages CF Ben Rortvedt C Shohei Ohtani P Trea Turner SS Kyle Schwarber DH Bryce Harper 1B Alec Bohm 3B Brandon Marsh LF J.T. Realmuto C Max Kepler RF Harrison Bader CF Bryson Stott 2B Cristopher Sanchez P	Philadelphia Phillies WIN 54.7% of sims by 0.1 Prediction	Los Angeles Dodgers wins 5-3
8:38 PM	Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners Keider Montero vs George Kirby -192 or 65.8% +/- Lineups Gleyber Torres 2B Kerry Carpenter RF Riley Greene LF Spencer Torkelson 1B Colt Keith DH Dillon Dingler C Zach McKinstry 3B Javier Baez SS Parker Meadows CF Keider Montero P Randy Arozarena LF Cal Raleigh C Julio Rodriguez CF Josh Naylor 1B Jorge Polanco 2B Eugenio Suarez 3B Dominic Canzone DH Victor Robles RF J.P. Crawford SS George Kirby P	Seattle Mariners WIN 56.1% of sims by 0.4 Prediction	Detroit Tigers wins 3-2

Legend/Totals

Correct Picks	2 (50.0%)
Incorrect Picks	2 (50.0%)
Final Margin within 5 Runs	0 (0.0%)
Beat the Spread	2 (50.0%)

MLB Predictions for 10/4/2025

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