How does the MLB Game Simulator work?

The MLB Game Simulator uses at-bat-by-at-bat modeling, pitcher data, and player stats to predict outcomes, scores, and performances.

Are MLB predictions updated daily?

Yes. Baseball predictions and player stat projections are updated daily to reflect pitching matchups, lineups, and recent performance.

How accurate are the MLB predictions?

Accuracy varies by day and matchup. We publish performance summaries so you can track results over time.

How often are predictions refreshed?

Predictions refresh daily and may update during the day when key injuries or depth chart changes occur.

MLB Predictions for 9/5/2023

<< Prev Next >>

Odds: Line | O/U | Money Line

9/5/2023 MLB Games
Time *ET	Matchup	Prediction	Actual	Result
6:10 PM	Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians Sonny Gray vs Tanner Bibee -105 or 51.2% +/- Lineups Edouard Julien 2B Jorge Polanco DH Royce Lewis 3B Max Kepler RF Carlos Correa SS Donovan Solano 1B Matt Wallner LF Christian Vazquez C Willi Castro CF Sonny Gray P Steven Kwan LF Jose Ramirez 3B Josh Naylor 1B Kole Calhoun DH Andres Gimenez 2B Gabriel Arias SS Will Brennan RF Bo Naylor C Myles Straw CF Tanner Bibee P	Minnesota Twins WIN 54.2% of sims by 0.7 Prediction	Minnesota Twins wins 8-3
6:35 PM	Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Brandon Woodruff vs Andre Jackson -145 or 59.2% +/- Lineups Christian Yelich LF William Contreras C Carlos Santana 1B Mark Canha DH Willy Adames SS Sal Frelick CF Andruw Monasterio 3B Brice Turang 2B Tyrone Taylor RF Brandon Woodruff P Ji Hwan Bae 2B Bryan Reynolds DH Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B Connor Joe 1B Jack Suwinski CF Endy Rodriguez C Liover Peguero SS Josh Palacios LF Miguel Andujar RF Andre Jackson P	Pittsburgh Pirates WIN 58.9% of sims by 0.6 Prediction	Milwaukee Brewers wins 7-3
6:40 PM	Seattle Mariners @ Cincinnati Reds Bryce Miller vs Connor Phillips -126 or 55.8% +/- Lineups J.P. Crawford SS Julio Rodriguez CF Cal Raleigh C Teoscar Hernandez RF Dominic Canzone LF Ty France 1B Mike Ford DH Jose Caballero 3B Josh Rojas 2B Bryce Miller P Jake Fraley DH TJ Friedl CF Spencer Steer 2B Elly De La Cruz SS Hunter Renfroe RF Christian Encarnacion-Strand 1B Will Benson LF Noelvi Marte 3B Luke Maile C Connor Phillips P	Cincinnati Reds WIN 54.2% of sims by 0.2 Prediction	Cincinnati Reds wins 7-6
6:40 PM	Los Angeles Dodgers @ Miami Marlins Clayton Kershaw vs Jesus Luzardo -116 or 53.7% +/- Lineups Mookie Betts RF Freddie Freeman 1B Will Smith DH Amed Rosario 2B Enrique Hernandez 3B Chris Taylor LF James Outman CF Miguel Rojas SS Austin Barnes C Clayton Kershaw P Luis Arraez 2B Jorge Soler DH Josh Bell 1B Jesus Sanchez RF Jake Burger 3B Bryan De La Cruz LF Jazz Chisholm CF Garrett Hampson SS Nick Fortes C Jesus Luzardo P	Los Angeles Dodgers WIN 52.9% of sims by 0.4 Prediction	Miami Marlins wins 6-3
6:40 PM	Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays Kutter Crawford vs Zach Eflin -164 or 62.1% +/- Lineups Ceddanne Rafaela SS Rafael Devers 3B Justin Turner DH Triston Casas 1B Adam Duvall RF Masataka Yoshida LF Wilyer Abreu CF Connor Wong C Enmanuel Valdez 2B Kutter Crawford P Yandy Diaz 1B Brandon Lowe 2B Isaac Paredes 3B Randy Arozarena LF Josh Lowe RF Jose Siri CF Vidal Brujan SS Jonathan Aranda DH Rene Pinto C Zach Eflin P	Boston Red Sox WIN 50.7% of sims by 0.2 Prediction	Tampa Bay Rays wins 8-6
7:05 PM	Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees Alex Faedo vs Gerrit Cole -255 or 71.8% +/- Lineups Akil Baddoo LF Zach McKinstry 2B Spencer Torkelson 1B Kerry Carpenter RF Miguel Cabrera DH Andre Lipcius 3B Parker Meadows CF Javier Baez SS Jake Rogers C Alex Faedo P DJ LeMahieu 1B Aaron Judge RF Jasson Dominguez CF Gleyber Torres 2B Giancarlo Stanton DH Anthony Volpe SS Everson Pereira LF Oswald Peraza 3B Ben Rortvedt C Gerrit Cole P	New York Yankees WIN 58.9% of sims by 0.6 Prediction	New York Yankees wins 5-1
7:05 PM	New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Jose Quintana vs Patrick Corbin -117 or 53.9% +/- Lineups Brandon Nimmo CF Francisco Lindor SS Jeff McNeil RF Pete Alonso 1B Mark Vientos DH Francisco Alvarez C Brett Baty 3B Ronny Mauricio 2B Tim Locastro LF Jose Quintana P Jacob Young CF Joey Meneses 1B Keibert Ruiz C Riley Adams DH Carter Kieboom 3B Ildemaro Vargas SS Travis Blankenhorn LF Alex Call RF Jake Alu 2B Patrick Corbin P	Washington Nationals WIN 51.0% of sims by 0.0 Prediction	New York Mets wins 11-5
7:20 PM	St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves Miles Mikolas vs Michael Soroka -220 or 68.8% +/- Lineups Lars Nootbaar RF Paul Goldschmidt 1B Nolan Gorman 2B Nolan Arenado 3B Willson Contreras C Jordan Walker DH Tyler O'Neill LF Tommy Edman CF Masyn Winn SS Miles Mikolas P Ronald Acuna RF Ozzie Albies 2B Austin Riley 3B Matt Olson 1B Marcell Ozuna DH Eddie Rosario LF Sean Murphy C Michael Harris CF Nicky Lopez SS Michael Soroka P	Atlanta Braves WIN 61.8% of sims by 0.9 Prediction	St. Louis Cardinals wins 10-6
7:40 PM	San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs Sean Manaea vs Kyle Hendricks -125 or 55.6% +/- Lineups LaMonte Wade 1B Mike Yastrzemski RF Wilmer Flores DH Joc Pederson LF Blake Sabol C J.D. Davis 3B Brandon Crawford SS Wade Meckler CF Thairo Estrada 2B Sean Manaea P Mike Tauchman DH Nico Hoerner 2B Ian Happ LF Cody Bellinger CF Dansby Swanson SS Seiya Suzuki RF Jeimer Candelario 1B Yan Gomes C Nick Madrigal 3B Kyle Hendricks P	Chicago Cubs WIN 55.5% of sims by 0.3 Prediction	Chicago Cubs wins 11-8
7:40 PM	Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals Dylan Cease vs Brady Singer -130 or 56.5% +/- Lineups Tim Anderson SS Andrew Benintendi LF Eloy Jimenez DH Andrew Vaughn 1B Yoan Moncada 3B Gavin Sheets RF Elvis Andrus 2B Oscar Colas CF Korey Lee C Dylan Cease P Maikel Garcia 3B Bobby Witt SS Salvador Perez C MJ Melendez LF Edward Olivares DH Nelson Velazquez RF Drew Waters CF Nick Loftin 1B Michael Massey 2B Brady Singer P	Kansas City Royals WIN 59.7% of sims by 0.9 Prediction	Kansas City Royals wins 7-6
8:05 PM	Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers Framber Valdez vs Nathan Eovaldi -110 or 52.4% +/- Lineups Jose Altuve 2B Jeremy Pena SS Yordan Alvarez DH Alex Bregman 3B Kyle Tucker RF Jose Abreu 1B Chas McCormick LF Mauricio Dubon CF Martin Maldonado C Framber Valdez P Marcus Semien 2B Corey Seager SS Nathaniel Lowe 1B Adolis Garcia RF Mitch Garver DH Robbie Grossman LF Jonah Heim C Ezequiel Duran 3B Leody Taveras CF Nathan Eovaldi P	Texas Rangers WIN 54.9% of sims by 0.3 Prediction	Houston Astros wins 14-1
9:38 PM	Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Angels Dean Kremer vs Reid Detmers -150 or 60.0% +/- Lineups Adley Rutschman C Ryan Mountcastle 1B Anthony Santander DH Austin Hays LF Gunnar Henderson 3B Jordan Westburg 2B Aaron Hicks RF Ryan McKenna CF Jorge Mateo SS Dean Kremer P Nolan Schanuel 1B Brandon Drury 2B Luis Rengifo RF Mike Moustakas DH Logan O'Hoppe C Mickey Moniak CF Randal Grichuk LF Eduardo Escobar 3B Kyren Paris SS Reid Detmers P	Baltimore Orioles WIN 56.6% of sims by 0.9 Prediction	Baltimore Orioles wins 5-4
9:40 PM	Philadelphia Phillies @ San Diego Padres Michael Lorenzen vs Pedro Avila -132 or 56.9% +/- Lineups Kyle Schwarber DH Nick Castellanos RF Bryce Harper 1B Alec Bohm 3B Bryson Stott 2B Brandon Marsh CF Jake Cave LF Edmundo Sosa SS Garrett Stubbs C Michael Lorenzen P Ha-Seong Kim 2B Fernando Tatis RF Juan Soto LF Manny Machado DH Xander Bogaerts SS Luis Campusano C Matt Carpenter 1B Matthew Batten 3B Trent Grisham CF Pedro Avila P	San Diego Padres WIN 58.7% of sims by 0.6 Prediction	San Diego Padres wins 8-0
9:40 PM	Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics Chris Bassitt vs Ken Waldichuk -160 or 61.5% +/- Lineups George Springer DH Davis Schneider 2B Vladimir Guerrero 1B Whit Merrifield LF Alejandro Kirk C Cavan Biggio RF Ernie Clement SS Santiago Espinal 3B Kevin Kiermaier CF Chris Bassitt P Zack Gelof 2B Tony Kemp LF Ryan Noda 1B Seth Brown RF Jordan Diaz 3B Shea Langeliers C Tyler Soderstrom DH Esteury Ruiz CF Nick Allen SS Ken Waldichuk P	Toronto Blue Jays WIN 63.0% of sims by 1.8 Prediction	Toronto Blue Jays wins 7-1
9:40 PM	Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks Kyle Freeland vs Brandon Pfaadt -214 or 68.2% +/- Lineups Charlie Blackmon DH Ezequiel Tovar SS Ryan McMahon 3B Elias Diaz C Nolan Jones LF Brendan Rodgers 2B Elehuris Montero 1B Hunter Goodman RF Brenton Doyle CF Kyle Freeland P Ketel Marte 2B Emmanuel Rivera 3B Tommy Pham RF Christian Walker 1B Evan Longoria DH Lourdes Gurriel LF Corbin Carroll CF Nick Ahmed SS Gabriel Moreno C Brandon Pfaadt P	Arizona Diamondbacks WIN 52.2% of sims by 0.0 Prediction	Colorado Rockies wins 3-2

Legend/Totals

Correct Picks	10 (66.7%)
Incorrect Picks	5 (33.3%)
Final Margin within 5 Runs	4 (26.7%)
Beat the Spread	8 (53.3%)

MLB Predictions for 9/5/2023

Submit Feedback