How does the NFL Game Simulator work?

The NFL Game Simulator uses play-by-play models and statistical projections to predict outcomes, scores, and player stats for each matchup.

Are NFL predictions updated daily?

Yes. Predictions and player projections update daily with the latest stats, depth charts, and matchup data.

How accurate are the NFL predictions?

Accuracy varies by week and matchup. We publish performance summaries so you can track results over time.

How often are predictions refreshed?

Predictions refresh daily and may update during the day when key injuries or depth chart changes occur.

NFL Predictions for Week 4

Look for Geno Smith (Raiders) to have a big day. In this week's simulations he averaged 316.4 passing yards per game.
To view all of this week's player projections, you'll need a GameSim+ account.

Odds: Line | O/U

Week 4 NFL Games
Date/Time	Matchup	Prediction	Actual	Result
9/7/2025 8:20 PM	Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills by 1.5	Baltimore Ravens WIN 25.8-21.2 won 62.95% of sims, average margin of 4.6 Prediction Projected Stats	Buffalo Bills wins 41-40
9/14/2025 1 PM	Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens by 12.5	Baltimore Ravens WIN 24.2-19.0 won 63.89% of sims, average margin of 5.2 Prediction Projected Stats	Baltimore Ravens wins 41-17
9/22/2025 8:15 PM	Detroit Lions @ Baltimore Ravens by 4.5	Baltimore Ravens WIN 25.1-15.7 won 74.50% of sims, average margin of 9.4 Prediction Projected Stats	Detroit Lions wins 38-30
9/28/2025 4:25 PM	Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs by 2.5	Baltimore Ravens WIN 20.0-16.1 won 62.14% of sims, average margin of 3.9 Prediction \| Simulate Projected Stats

Legend/Totals

Correct Picks	1 (33.3%)
Incorrect Picks	2 (66.7%)
Final Margin within 7 Pts	1 (33.3%)
Beat the Spread	1 (33.3%)

NFL Predictions for Week 4

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