How does the NFL Game Simulator work?

The NFL Game Simulator uses play-by-play models and statistical projections to predict outcomes, scores, and player stats for each matchup.

Are NFL predictions updated daily?

Yes. Predictions and player projections update daily with the latest stats, depth charts, and matchup data.

How accurate are the NFL predictions?

Accuracy varies by week and matchup. We publish performance summaries so you can track results over time.

How often are predictions refreshed?

Predictions refresh daily and may update during the day when key injuries or depth chart changes occur.

NFL Predictions for Week 4

Watch out for Kaden Elliss (Falcons) in this week's game. In this week's simulations, he averaged 0.9 sacks per game.
To view all of this week's player projections, you'll need a GameSim+ account.

Odds: Line | O/U

Week 4 NFL Games
Date/Time	Matchup	Prediction	Actual	Result
9/5/2025 8 PM	Kansas City Chiefs @ Los Angeles Chargers by 2.5	Los Angeles Chargers WIN 23.3-18.4 won 63.42% of sims, average margin of 4.9 Prediction Projected Stats	Los Angeles Chargers wins 27-21
9/15/2025 10 PM	Los Angeles Chargers @ Las Vegas Raiders by 3.5	Las Vegas Raiders WIN 26.6-14.5 won 79.11% of sims, average margin of 12.1 Prediction Projected Stats	Los Angeles Chargers wins 20-9
9/21/2025 4:05 PM	Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers by 2.5	Los Angeles Chargers WIN 23.3-7.8 won 89.36% of sims, average margin of 15.5 Prediction Projected Stats	Los Angeles Chargers wins 23-20
9/28/2025 1 PM	Los Angeles Chargers @ New York Giants by 6	Los Angeles Chargers WIN 23.7-17.0 won 67.14% of sims, average margin of 6.6 Prediction \| Simulate Projected Stats

Legend/Totals

Correct Picks	2 (66.7%)
Incorrect Picks	1 (33.3%)
Final Margin within 7 Pts	1 (33.3%)
Beat the Spread	2 (66.7%)

NFL Predictions for Week 4

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