How does the NFL Game Simulator work?

The NFL Game Simulator uses play-by-play models and statistical projections to predict outcomes, scores, and player stats for each matchup.

Are NFL predictions updated daily?

Yes. Predictions and player projections update daily with the latest stats, depth charts, and matchup data.

How accurate are the NFL predictions?

Accuracy varies by week and matchup. We publish performance summaries so you can track results over time.

How often are predictions refreshed?

Predictions refresh daily and may update during the day when key injuries or depth chart changes occur.

NFL Predictions for Week 4

Watch out for Kaden Elliss (Falcons) in this week's game. In this week's simulations, he averaged 0.9 sacks per game.
To view all of this week's player projections, you'll need a GameSim+ account.

Odds: Line | O/U

Week 4 NFL Games
Date/Time	Matchup	Prediction	Actual	Result
9/7/2025 1 PM	Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts by 1.5	Indianapolis Colts WIN 22.5-21.3 won 53.21% of sims, average margin of 1.2 Prediction Projected Stats	Indianapolis Colts wins 33-8
9/14/2025 1 PM	New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins by 2.5	Miami Dolphins WIN 28.7-21.3 won 69.89% of sims, average margin of 7.4 Prediction Projected Stats	New England Patriots wins 33-27
9/18/2025 8:15 PM	Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills by 11.5	Buffalo Bills WIN 28.8-19.3 won 73.29% of sims, average margin of 9.6 Prediction Projected Stats	Buffalo Bills wins 31-21
9/29/2025 7:15 PM	New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins by 2.5	Miami Dolphins WIN 19.6-17.8 won 52.86% of sims, average margin of 1.8 Prediction \| Simulate Projected Stats

Legend/Totals

Correct Picks	2 (66.7%)
Incorrect Picks	1 (33.3%)
Final Margin within 7 Pts	1 (33.3%)
Beat the Spread	1 (33.3%)

NFL Predictions for Week 4

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