How does the MLB Game Simulator work?

The MLB Game Simulator uses at-bat-by-at-bat modeling, pitcher data, and player stats to predict outcomes, scores, and performances.

Are MLB predictions updated daily?

Yes. Baseball predictions and player stat projections are updated daily to reflect pitching matchups, lineups, and recent performance.

How accurate are the MLB predictions?

Accuracy varies by day and matchup. We publish performance summaries so you can track results over time.

How often are predictions refreshed?

Predictions refresh daily and may update during the day when key injuries or depth chart changes occur.

MLB Predictions for 7/22/2023

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Odds: Line | O/U | Money Line

7/22/2023 MLB Games
Time *ET	Matchup	Prediction	Actual	Result
1:05 PM	Kansas City Royals @ New York Yankees Jordan Lyles vs Luis Severino -272 or 73.1%	New York Yankees WIN 60.5% of sims by 0.6 Prediction	New York Yankees wins 5-2
1:10 PM	Colorado Rockies @ Miami Marlins Connor Seabold vs Jesus Luzardo -170 or 63.0%	Miami Marlins WIN 62.0% of sims by 1.1 Prediction	Colorado Rockies wins 4-3
2:10 PM	New York Mets @ Boston Red Sox Carlos Carrasco vs Chris Murphy -120 or 54.5%	Simulate	New York Mets wins 5-4
2:20 PM	St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs Jordan Montgomery vs Jameson Taillon -105 or 51.2%	St. Louis Cardinals WIN 53.8% of sims by 0.6 Prediction	Chicago Cubs wins 8-6
4:05 PM	Los Angeles Dodgers @ Texas Rangers Emmet Sheehan vs Martin Perez -120 or 54.5%	Los Angeles Dodgers WIN 50.7% of sims by 0.1 Prediction	Los Angeles Dodgers wins 16-3
4:10 PM	Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cincinnati Reds Tyler Gilbert vs Luke Weaver -102 or 50.5%	Cincinnati Reds WIN 54.0% of sims by 0.2 Prediction	Cincinnati Reds wins 4-2
4:10 PM	Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners Alek Manoah vs Bryan Woo -114 or 53.3%	Toronto Blue Jays WIN 55.5% of sims by 0.7 Prediction	Seattle Mariners wins 9-8
4:10 PM	Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays Tyler Wells vs Taj Bradley -200 or 66.7%	Tampa Bay Rays WIN 68.9% of sims by 1.9 Prediction	Baltimore Orioles wins 6-5
6:10 PM	San Diego Padres @ Detroit Tigers Joe Musgrove vs Alex Faedo -118 or 54.1%	Detroit Tigers WIN 52.0% of sims by 0.0 Prediction	San Diego Padres wins 14-3
7:05 PM	San Francisco Giants @ Washington Nationals Anthony DeSclafani vs MacKenzie Gore -164 or 62.1%	San Francisco Giants WIN 59.5% of sims by 1.3 Prediction	Washington Nationals wins 10-1
7:10 PM	Philadelphia Phillies @ Cleveland Guardians Aaron Nola vs Xzavion Curry -108 or 51.9%	Philadelphia Phillies WIN 50.7% of sims by 0.4 Prediction	Cleveland Guardians wins 1-0
7:10 PM	New York Mets @ Boston Red Sox Carlos Carrasco vs Chris Murphy -120 or 54.5%	Boston Red Sox WIN 59.8% of sims by 0.7 Prediction	Boston Red Sox wins 8-6
7:15 PM	Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins Lucas Giolito vs Bailey Ober -140 or 58.3%	Minnesota Twins WIN 69.5% of sims by 1.7 Prediction	Minnesota Twins wins 3-2
7:15 PM	Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers Bryce Elder vs Julio Teheran -120 or 54.5%	Atlanta Braves WIN 60.6% of sims by 1.4 Prediction	Milwaukee Brewers wins 4-3
9:07 PM	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Angels Mitch Keller vs Tyler Anderson -187 or 65.2%	Los Angeles Angels WIN 59.1% of sims by 0.7 Prediction	Pittsburgh Pirates wins 3-0
9:07 PM	Houston Astros @ Athletics Hunter Brown vs Luis Medina -162 or 61.8%	Athletics WIN 51.4% of sims by 0.3 Prediction	Athletics wins 4-1

Legend/Totals

Correct Picks	5 (33.3%)
Incorrect Picks	10 (66.7%)
Final Margin within 5 Runs	1 (6.7%)
Beat the Spread	8 (53.3%)

MLB Predictions for 7/22/2023

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