How does the MLB Game Simulator work?

The MLB Game Simulator uses at-bat-by-at-bat modeling, pitcher data, and player stats to predict outcomes, scores, and performances.

Are MLB predictions updated daily?

Yes. Baseball predictions and player stat projections are updated daily to reflect pitching matchups, lineups, and recent performance.

How accurate are the MLB predictions?

Accuracy varies by day and matchup. We publish performance summaries so you can track results over time.

How often are predictions refreshed?

Predictions refresh daily and may update during the day when key injuries or depth chart changes occur.

MLB Predictions for 7/4/2023

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Odds: Line | O/U | Money Line

7/4/2023 MLB Games
Time *ET	Matchup	Prediction	Actual	Result
11:05 AM	Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals Brett Kennedy vs Patrick Corbin -105 or 51.2%	Cincinnati Reds WIN 57.2% of sims by 1.0 Prediction	Cincinnati Reds wins 8-4
1:05 PM	Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees Kyle Gibson vs Clarke Schmidt -120 or 54.5%	Baltimore Orioles WIN 60.8% of sims by 1.5 Prediction	New York Yankees wins 8-4
1:10 PM	St. Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins Adam Wainwright vs Jesus Luzardo -178 or 64.0%	Miami Marlins WIN 55.3% of sims by 0.3 Prediction	Miami Marlins wins 15-2
1:35 PM	Texas Rangers @ Boston Red Sox Dane Dunning vs Chris Murphy -100 or 50.0%	Texas Rangers WIN 53.4% of sims by 0.8 Prediction	Texas Rangers wins 6-2
2:10 PM	Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins Zack Greinke vs Kenta Maeda -190 or 65.5%	Minnesota Twins WIN 55.1% of sims by 0.4 Prediction	Minnesota Twins wins 9-3
4:10 PM	Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers Kyle Hendricks vs Wade Miley -112 or 52.8%	Chicago Cubs WIN 59.4% of sims by 1.2 Prediction	Chicago Cubs wins 7-6
4:10 PM	Philadelphia Phillies @ Tampa Bay Rays Aaron Nola vs Zach Eflin -145 or 59.2%	Tampa Bay Rays WIN 59.5% of sims by 0.8 Prediction	Philadelphia Phillies wins 3-1
4:10 PM	New York Mets @ Arizona Diamondbacks Kodai Senga vs Zach Davies -130 or 56.5%	New York Mets WIN 51.8% of sims by 0.4 Prediction	New York Mets wins 8-5
4:10 PM	Colorado Rockies @ Houston Astros Kyle Freeland vs Brandon Bielak -190 or 65.5%	Houston Astros WIN 50.4% of sims by 0.4 Prediction	Houston Astros wins 4-1
4:35 PM	Seattle Mariners @ San Francisco Giants Logan Gilbert vs Keaton Winn -120 or 54.5%	San Francisco Giants WIN 64.5% of sims by 1.1 Prediction	Seattle Mariners wins 6-0
6:40 PM	Athletics @ Detroit Tigers JP Sears vs Tarik Skubal -177 or 63.9%	Detroit Tigers WIN 64.7% of sims by 1.1 Prediction	Athletics wins 1-0
6:40 PM	Los Angeles Angels @ San Diego Padres Shohei Ohtani vs Joe Musgrove -151 or 60.2%	San Diego Padres WIN 54.0% of sims by 0.2 Prediction	San Diego Padres wins 8-5
7:10 PM	Atlanta Braves @ Cleveland Guardians Kolby Allard vs Shane Bieber -117 or 53.9%	Atlanta Braves WIN 55.0% of sims by 0.7 Prediction	Cleveland Guardians wins 6-5
8:10 PM	Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago White Sox Chris Bassitt vs Lucas Giolito -102 or 50.5%	Toronto Blue Jays WIN 53.6% of sims by 0.5 Prediction	Toronto Blue Jays wins 4-3
9:10 PM	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers Luis L. Ortiz vs Emmet Sheehan -275 or 73.3%	Los Angeles Dodgers WIN 66.1% of sims by 1.5 Prediction	Pittsburgh Pirates wins 9-7

Legend/Totals

Correct Picks	8 (53.3%)
Incorrect Picks	7 (46.7%)
Final Margin within 5 Runs	2 (13.3%)
Beat the Spread	5 (33.3%)

MLB Predictions for 7/4/2023

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