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The MLB Game Simulator uses at-bat-by-at-bat modeling, pitcher data, and player stats to predict outcomes, scores, and performances.

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Yes. Baseball predictions and player stat projections are updated daily to reflect pitching matchups, lineups, and recent performance.

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Accuracy varies by day and matchup. We publish performance summaries so you can track results over time.

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Predictions refresh daily and may update during the day when key injuries or depth chart changes occur.

MLB Predictions for 7/4/2025

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Odds: Line | O/U | Money Line

7/4/2025 MLB Games
Time *ET	Matchup	Prediction	Actual	Result
11:05 AM	Boston Red Sox @ Washington Nationals Lucas Giolito vs Michael Soroka -105 or 51.2% +/- Lineups Jarren Duran LF Roman Anthony DH Abraham Toro 1B Carlos Narvaez C Wilyer Abreu RF Trevor Story SS Marcelo Mayer 3B Ceddanne Rafaela CF David Hamilton 2B Lucas Giolito P CJ Abrams SS James Wood LF Luis Garcia 2B Nathaniel Lowe 1B Josh Bell DH Brady House 3B Daylen Lile RF Keibert Ruiz C Jacob Young CF Michael Soroka P	Washington Nationals WIN 56.9% of sims by 0.3 Prediction	Boston Red Sox wins 11-2
1:05 PM	Cincinnati Reds @ Philadelphia Phillies Andrew Abbott vs Jesus Luzardo -158 or 61.2% +/- Lineups TJ Friedl CF Matt McLain DH Elly De La Cruz SS Austin Hays LF Spencer Steer 1B Tyler Stephenson C Noelvi Marte 3B Rece Hinds RF Santiago Espinal 2B Andrew Abbott P Trea Turner SS Kyle Schwarber DH Bryce Harper 1B Alec Bohm 3B Nick Castellanos RF J.T. Realmuto C Otto Kemp LF Edmundo Sosa 2B Johan Rojas CF Jesus Luzardo P	Cincinnati Reds WIN 55.8% of sims by 0.8 Prediction	Cincinnati Reds wins 9-6
2:20 PM	St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs Miles Mikolas vs Colin Rea -155 or 60.8% +/- Lineups Brendan Donovan 2B Masyn Winn SS Alec Burleson RF Willson Contreras 1B Lars Nootbaar LF Nolan Arenado 3B Nolan Gorman DH Pedro Pages C Victor Scott CF Miles Mikolas P Ian Happ LF Kyle Tucker RF Seiya Suzuki DH Pete Crow-Armstrong CF Dansby Swanson SS Michael Busch 1B Carson Kelly C Nico Hoerner 2B Matt Shaw 3B Colin Rea P	Chicago Cubs WIN 58.1% of sims by 0.5 Prediction	Chicago Cubs wins 11-3
3:10 PM	New York Yankees @ New York Mets Marcus Stroman vs Justin Hagenman -115 or 53.5% +/- Lineups Jasson Dominguez LF Aaron Judge RF Cody Bellinger CF Giancarlo Stanton DH Jazz Chisholm 3B Paul Goldschmidt 1B J.C. Escarra C Anthony Volpe SS DJ LeMahieu 2B Marcus Stroman P Brandon Nimmo LF Francisco Lindor SS Juan Soto RF Pete Alonso 1B Jeff McNeil 2B Luis Torrens C Brett Baty 3B Ronny Mauricio DH Tyrone Taylor CF Justin Hagenman P	New York Mets WIN 61.7% of sims by 0.8 Prediction	New York Mets wins 6-5
4:10 PM	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Seattle Mariners Bailey Falter vs Bryan Woo -185 or 64.9% +/- Lineups Spencer Horwitz 1B Andrew McCutchen DH Bryan Reynolds RF Nick Gonzales 2B Oneil Cruz CF Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B Adam Frazier LF Joey Bart C Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS Bailey Falter P J.P. Crawford SS Julio Rodriguez CF Cal Raleigh DH Randy Arozarena LF Donovan Solano 1B Mitch Garver C Dylan Moore RF Ben Williamson 3B Cole Young 2B Bryan Woo P	Seattle Mariners WIN 61.8% of sims by 0.8 Prediction	Seattle Mariners wins 6-0
4:10 PM	Tampa Bay Rays @ Minnesota Twins Zack Littell vs Chris Paddack -119 or 54.3% +/- Lineups Josh Lowe RF Yandy Diaz DH Brandon Lowe 2B Junior Caminero 3B Jonathan Aranda 1B Jake Mangum LF Ha-Seong Kim SS Chandler Simpson CF Danny Jansen C Zack Littell P Byron Buxton CF Willi Castro 2B Trevor Larnach RF Carlos Correa SS Ryan Jeffers C Matt Wallner DH Royce Lewis 3B Ty France 1B Harrison Bader LF Chris Paddack P	Tampa Bay Rays WIN 51.9% of sims by 0.5 Prediction	Minnesota Twins wins 4-3
6:40 PM	Texas Rangers @ San Diego Padres Kumar Rocker vs Randy Vasquez -110 or 52.4% +/- Lineups Josh Smith 3B Corey Seager SS Marcus Semien 2B Adolis Garcia RF Evan Carter CF Jonah Heim DH Alejandro Osuna LF Jake Burger 1B Kyle Higashioka C Kumar Rocker P Fernando Tatis RF Jackson Merrill CF Manny Machado 3B Luis Arraez 1B Gavin Sheets LF Xander Bogaerts SS Jake Cronenworth 2B Trenton Brooks DH Martin Maldonado C Randy Vasquez P	San Diego Padres WIN 60.8% of sims by 0.8 Prediction	San Diego Padres wins 3-2
7:07 PM	Los Angeles Angels @ Toronto Blue Jays Kyle Hendricks vs Eric Lauer -147 or 59.5% +/- Lineups Zach Neto SS Nolan Schanuel 1B Mike Trout DH Taylor Ward LF Jo Adell CF Logan O'Hoppe C Luis Rengifo 3B Gustavo Campero RF Chad Stevens 2B Kyle Hendricks P Andres Gimenez 2B George Springer DH Bo Bichette SS Addison Barger RF Davis Schneider LF Nathan Lukes CF Ernie Clement 3B Will Wagner 1B Tyler Heineman C Eric Lauer P	Toronto Blue Jays WIN 55.2% of sims by 0.4 Prediction	Toronto Blue Jays wins 4-3
7:10 PM	Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians Reese Olson vs Slade Cecconi -105 or 51.2% +/- Lineups Colt Keith 3B Gleyber Torres 2B Wenceel Perez RF Riley Greene DH Spencer Torkelson 1B Zach McKinstry SS Matt Vierling LF Parker Meadows CF Dillon Dingler C Reese Olson P Steven Kwan LF Kyle Manzardo DH Jose Ramirez 3B Carlos Santana 1B Nolan Jones RF Lane Thomas CF Daniel Schneemann SS Bo Naylor C Angel Martinez 2B Slade Cecconi P	Detroit Tigers WIN 50.8% of sims by 0.6 Prediction	Detroit Tigers wins 2-1
7:10 PM	Milwaukee Brewers @ Miami Marlins Quinn Priester vs Sandy Alcantara -114 or 53.3% +/- Lineups Sal Frelick RF William Contreras C Christian Yelich DH Jackson Chourio CF Brice Turang 2B Isaac Collins LF Jake Bauers 1B Caleb Durbin 3B Joey Ortiz SS Quinn Priester P Xavier Edwards 2B Jesus Sanchez RF Otto Lopez SS Agustin Ramirez DH Kyle Stowers LF Eric Wagaman 1B Connor Norby 3B Dane Myers CF Nick Fortes C Sandy Alcantara P	Milwaukee Brewers WIN 53.8% of sims by 0.6 Prediction	Milwaukee Brewers wins 6-5
7:15 PM	Baltimore Orioles @ Atlanta Braves Charlie Morton vs Spencer Strider -180 or 64.3% +/- Lineups Jackson Holliday 2B Jordan Westburg 3B Gunnar Henderson SS Ryan O'Hearn 1B Ramon Laureano RF Colton Cowser LF Gary Sanchez C Tyler O'Neill DH Cedric Mullins CF Charlie Morton P Ronald Acuna RF Matt Olson 1B Austin Riley 3B Jurickson Profar LF Marcell Ozuna DH Drake Baldwin C Ozzie Albies 2B Michael Harris CF Nick Allen SS Spencer Strider P	Atlanta Braves WIN 51.6% of sims by 0.2 Prediction	Baltimore Orioles wins 3-2
8:10 PM	Chicago White Sox @ Colorado Rockies Adrian Houser vs Antonio Senzatela -100 or 50.0% +/- Lineups Mike Tauchman RF Chase Meidroth 2B Andrew Benintendi DH Miguel Vargas 1B Brooks Baldwin CF Edgar Quero C Colson Montgomery SS Michael Taylor LF Josh Rojas 3B Adrian Houser P Tyler Freeman RF Hunter Goodman C Jordan Beck LF Thairo Estrada 2B Mickey Moniak CF Ryan McMahon 3B Michael Toglia 1B Ryan Ritter SS Yanquiel Fernandez DH Antonio Senzatela P	Chicago White Sox WIN 51.2% of sims by 0.5 Prediction	Chicago White Sox wins 3-2
9:10 PM	Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Dodgers Lance McCullers Jr. vs Ben Casparius -185 or 64.9% +/- Lineups Isaac Paredes 3B Jake Meyers CF Jose Altuve 2B Cam Smith RF Christian Walker 1B Victor Caratini C Yainer Diaz DH Taylor Trammell LF Mauricio Dubon SS Lance McCullers Jr. P Shohei Ohtani DH Mookie Betts SS Freddie Freeman 1B Will Smith C Teoscar Hernandez RF Andy Pages CF Michael Conforto LF Tommy Edman 2B Enrique Hernandez 3B Ben Casparius P	Los Angeles Dodgers WIN 70.9% of sims by 1.9 Prediction	Houston Astros wins 18-1
9:40 PM	Kansas City Royals @ Arizona Diamondbacks Kris Bubic vs Eduardo Rodriguez -115 or 53.5% +/- Lineups Jonathan India 2B Bobby Witt SS Vinnie Pasquantino 1B Maikel Garcia 3B Salvador Perez DH Jac Caglianone RF Mark Canha LF Freddy Fermin C John Rave CF Kris Bubic P Ketel Marte 2B Geraldo Perdomo SS Lourdes Gurriel LF Eugenio Suarez DH Josh Naylor 1B Randal Grichuk RF Blaze Alexander 3B Tim Tawa CF Jose Herrera C Eduardo Rodriguez P	Arizona Diamondbacks WIN 56.0% of sims by 0.3 Prediction	Kansas City Royals wins 9-3
10:05 PM	San Francisco Giants @ Athletics Justin Verlander vs JP Sears -110 or 52.4% +/- Lineups Heliot Ramos LF Willy Adames SS Rafael Devers DH Wilmer Flores 1B Jung Hoo Lee CF Luis Matos RF Tyler Fitzgerald 2B Patrick Bailey C Sergio Alcantara 3B Justin Verlander P Lawrence Butler RF Jacob Wilson SS Brent Rooker DH Nick Kurtz 1B Shea Langeliers C Tyler Soderstrom LF Max Muncy 3B Zack Gelof 2B Denzel Clarke CF JP Sears P	Athletics WIN 61.6% of sims by 1.0 Prediction	Athletics wins 11-2

Legend/Totals

Correct Picks	11 (73.3%)
Incorrect Picks	4 (26.7%)
Final Margin within 5 Runs	7 (46.7%)
Beat the Spread	7 (46.7%)

MLB Predictions for 7/4/2025

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