How does the MLB Game Simulator work?

The MLB Game Simulator uses at-bat-by-at-bat modeling, pitcher data, and player stats to predict outcomes, scores, and performances.

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Yes. Baseball predictions and player stat projections are updated daily to reflect pitching matchups, lineups, and recent performance.

How accurate are the MLB predictions?

Accuracy varies by day and matchup. We publish performance summaries so you can track results over time.

How often are predictions refreshed?

Predictions refresh daily and may update during the day when key injuries or depth chart changes occur.

MLB Predictions for 8/17/2023

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Odds: Line | O/U | Money Line

8/17/2023 MLB Games
Time *ET	Matchup	Prediction	Actual	Result
2:10 PM	Seattle Mariners @ Kansas City Royals George Kirby vs Angel Zerpa -185 or 64.9% +/- Lineups Julio Rodriguez CF Eugenio Suarez 3B Ty France 1B Teoscar Hernandez DH Dylan Moore 2B Brian O'Keefe C Jose Caballero SS Cade Marlowe LF Sam Haggerty RF George Kirby P Maikel Garcia 3B Bobby Witt SS Michael Massey 2B Nelson Velazquez RF MJ Melendez LF Freddy Fermin C Drew Waters DH Matt Duffy 1B Kyle Isbel CF Angel Zerpa P	Seattle Mariners WIN 64.9% of sims by 1.6 Prediction	Seattle Mariners wins 6-4
4:05 PM	Boston Red Sox @ Washington Nationals Chris Sale vs Patrick Corbin -152 or 60.3% +/- Lineups Rob Refsnyder CF Rafael Devers 3B Trevor Story DH Adam Duvall RF Masataka Yoshida LF Pablo Reyes SS Triston Casas 1B Connor Wong C Luis Urias 2B Chris Sale P Lane Thomas RF Joey Meneses 1B Keibert Ruiz DH Stone Garrett LF Riley Adams C Michael Chavis 2B Ildemaro Vargas 3B Alex Call CF Jeter Downs SS Patrick Corbin P	Washington Nationals WIN 52.0% of sims by 0.3 Prediction	Washington Nationals wins 10-7
7:15 PM	New York Mets @ St. Louis Cardinals Jose Quintana vs Adam Wainwright -100 or 50.0% +/- Lineups Brandon Nimmo LF Francisco Lindor SS Jeff McNeil 2B Pete Alonso 1B Daniel Vogelbach DH Francisco Alvarez C DJ Stewart RF Jonathan Arauz 3B Rafael Ortega CF Jose Quintana P Tommy Edman CF Paul Goldschmidt 1B Nolan Arenado 3B Willson Contreras DH Tyler O'Neill LF Jordan Walker RF Andrew Knizner C Taylor Motter SS Jose Fermin 2B Adam Wainwright P	New York Mets WIN 61.2% of sims by 1.5 Prediction	New York Mets wins 4-2
7:15 PM	Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians Tarik Skubal vs Xzavion Curry -118 or 54.1% +/- Lineups Akil Baddoo LF Riley Greene CF Matt Vierling 3B Spencer Torkelson 1B Kerry Carpenter RF Miguel Cabrera DH Zach McKinstry 2B Jake Rogers C Zack Short SS Tarik Skubal P Andres Gimenez 2B Jose Ramirez DH Ramon Laureano RF Oscar Gonzalez LF Kole Calhoun 1B Gabriel Arias SS Brayan Rocchio 3B Bo Naylor C Myles Straw CF Xzavion Curry P	Detroit Tigers WIN 61.1% of sims by 1.2 Prediction \| Simulate	Postponed
9:40 PM	Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Zac Gallen vs Rich Hill -125 or 55.6% +/- Lineups Kyle Lewis DH Corbin Carroll RF Tommy Pham LF Christian Walker 1B Buddy Kennedy 3B Gabriel Moreno C Alek Thomas CF Nick Ahmed SS Geraldo Perdomo 2B Zac Gallen P Ha-Seong Kim 3B Fernando Tatis RF Juan Soto LF Manny Machado DH Xander Bogaerts SS Jake Cronenworth 2B Luis Campusano C Garrett Cooper 1B Trent Grisham CF Rich Hill P	San Diego Padres WIN 61.2% of sims by 0.9 Prediction	Arizona Diamondbacks wins 3-1
10:10 PM	Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers Corbin Burnes vs Lance Lynn -154 or 60.6% +/- Lineups Christian Yelich LF William Contreras DH Carlos Santana 1B Sal Frelick CF Willy Adames SS Andruw Monasterio 3B Victor Caratini C Brice Turang 2B Tyrone Taylor RF Corbin Burnes P Mookie Betts 2B Freddie Freeman 1B David Peralta LF Will Smith DH Max Muncy 3B Jason Heyward RF James Outman CF Enrique Hernandez SS Austin Barnes C Lance Lynn P	Los Angeles Dodgers WIN 56.9% of sims by 0.6 Prediction	Los Angeles Dodgers wins 1-0

Legend/Totals

Correct Picks	3 (60.0%)
Incorrect Picks	2 (40.0%)
Final Margin within 5 Runs	3 (60.0%)
Beat the Spread	2 (40.0%)

MLB Predictions for 8/17/2023

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