How does the MLB Game Simulator work?

The MLB Game Simulator uses at-bat-by-at-bat modeling, pitcher data, and player stats to predict outcomes, scores, and performances.

Are MLB predictions updated daily?

Yes. Baseball predictions and player stat projections are updated daily to reflect pitching matchups, lineups, and recent performance.

How accurate are the MLB predictions?

Accuracy varies by day and matchup. We publish performance summaries so you can track results over time.

How often are predictions refreshed?

Predictions refresh daily and may update during the day when key injuries or depth chart changes occur.

MLB Predictions for 8/17/2025

<< Prev Next >>

Odds: Line | O/U | Money Line

8/17/2025 MLB Games
Time *ET	Matchup	Prediction	Actual	Result
11:35 AM	Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals Aaron Nola vs Mitchell Parker -173 or 63.4% +/- Lineups Trea Turner SS Kyle Schwarber DH Bryce Harper 1B Alec Bohm 3B Nick Castellanos RF Harrison Bader CF Weston Wilson LF Bryson Stott 2B Rafael Marchan C Aaron Nola P Luis Garcia DH CJ Abrams SS Paul DeJong 1B Daylen Lile LF Dylan Crews RF Jose Tena 2B Drew Millas C Brady House 3B Robert Hassell CF Mitchell Parker P	Philadelphia Phillies WIN 50.2% of sims by 0.6 Prediction	Philadelphia Phillies wins 11-9
1:35 PM	Miami Marlins @ Boston Red Sox Janson Junk vs Garrett Crochet -260 or 72.2% +/- Lineups Xavier Edwards 2B Agustin Ramirez C Otto Lopez SS Heriberto Hernandez DH Javier Sanoja 3B Dane Myers RF Joey Wiemer LF Eric Wagaman 1B Derek Hill CF Janson Junk P Roman Anthony LF Trevor Story SS Jarren Duran CF Masataka Yoshida DH Wilyer Abreu RF Romy Gonzalez 1B Abraham Toro 3B Ceddanne Rafaela 2B Carlos Narvaez C Garrett Crochet P	Boston Red Sox WIN 66.0% of sims by 1.3 Prediction	Miami Marlins wins 5-3
1:37 PM	Texas Rangers @ Toronto Blue Jays Nathan Eovaldi vs Jose Berrios -120 or 54.5% +/- Lineups Josh Smith RF Wyatt Langford LF Corey Seager SS Rowdy Tellez DH Evan Carter CF Marcus Semien 2B Jake Burger 1B Cody Freeman 3B Jonah Heim C Nathan Eovaldi P George Springer DH Addison Barger RF Vladimir Guerrero 1B Bo Bichette SS Daulton Varsho CF Alejandro Kirk C Nathan Lukes LF Ernie Clement 3B Andres Gimenez 2B Jose Berrios P	Toronto Blue Jays WIN 51.4% of sims by 0.0 Prediction	Texas Rangers wins 10-4
1:40 PM	Atlanta Braves @ Cleveland Guardians Erick Fedde vs Logan Allen -121 or 54.8% +/- Lineups Jurickson Profar LF Matt Olson 1B Ronald Acuna RF Marcell Ozuna DH Michael Harris CF Ozzie Albies 2B Sean Murphy C Nacho Alvarez 3B Nick Allen SS Erick Fedde P Steven Kwan LF Daniel Schneemann 3B Jose Ramirez DH Kyle Manzardo 1B Bo Naylor C Brayan Rocchio SS C.J. Kayfus RF Nolan Jones CF Angel Martinez 2B Logan Allen P	Atlanta Braves WIN 53.1% of sims by 0.5 Prediction	Atlanta Braves wins 5-4
1:40 PM	Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds Jose Quintana vs Andrew Abbott -125 or 55.6% +/- Lineups Andruw Monasterio 2B Caleb Durbin 3B William Contreras DH Christian Yelich LF Andrew Vaughn 1B Blake Perkins CF Danny Jansen C Joey Ortiz SS Brandon Lockridge RF Jose Quintana P TJ Friedl CF Spencer Steer 1B Elly De La Cruz SS Miguel Andujar LF Austin Hays DH Noelvi Marte RF Jose Trevino C Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B Santiago Espinal 2B Andrew Abbott P	Cincinnati Reds WIN 50.1% of sims by 0.2 Prediction	Cincinnati Reds wins 3-2
2:10 PM	Baltimore Orioles @ Houston Astros Dean Kremer vs Cristian Javier -121 or 54.8% +/- Lineups Jackson Holliday 2B Jordan Westburg 3B Gunnar Henderson SS Adley Rutschman C Colton Cowser CF Samuel Basallo DH Coby Mayo 1B Dylan Beavers LF Jeremiah Jackson RF Dean Kremer P Jeremy Pena SS Carlos Correa 3B Jose Altuve 2B Jesus Sanchez RF Yainer Diaz DH Victor Caratini C Mauricio Dubon 1B Jacob Melton CF Taylor Trammell LF Cristian Javier P	Houston Astros WIN 64.9% of sims by 1.1 Prediction	Baltimore Orioles wins 12-0
2:10 PM	Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins Chris Paddack vs Thomas Hatch -100 or 50.0% +/- Lineups Colt Keith 3B Kerry Carpenter DH Spencer Torkelson 1B Riley Greene LF Wenceel Perez RF Javier Baez CF Zach McKinstry 2B Trey Sweeney SS Jake Rogers C Chris Paddack P Byron Buxton CF Trevor Larnach DH Luke Keaschall 2B Kody Clemens 1B Ryan Jeffers C Matt Wallner RF Royce Lewis 3B Brooks Lee SS James Outman LF Thomas Hatch P	Detroit Tigers WIN 50.6% of sims by 0.4 Prediction	Minnesota Twins wins 8-1
2:10 PM	Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals Davis Martin vs Ryan Bergert -165 or 62.3% +/- Lineups Mike Tauchman RF Lenyn Sosa 1B Colson Montgomery SS Miguel Vargas 3B Andrew Benintendi LF Edgar Quero C Kyle Teel DH Chase Meidroth 2B Brooks Baldwin CF Davis Martin P Mike Yastrzemski RF Bobby Witt SS Vinnie Pasquantino DH Maikel Garcia 3B Salvador Perez 1B Adam Frazier LF Jonathan India 2B John Rave CF Luke Maile C Ryan Bergert P	Kansas City Royals WIN 64.3% of sims by 1.1 Prediction	Kansas City Royals wins 6-2
2:15 PM	New York Yankees @ St. Louis Cardinals Will Warren vs Miles Mikolas -132 or 56.9% +/- Lineups Trent Grisham CF Ben Rice C Aaron Judge DH Cody Bellinger RF Jazz Chisholm 2B Paul Goldschmidt 1B Jasson Dominguez LF Ryan McMahon 3B Jose Caballero SS Will Warren P Lars Nootbaar LF Masyn Winn SS Alec Burleson 1B Ivan Herrera DH Nolan Gorman 3B Jordan Walker RF Yohel Pozo C Thomas Saggese 2B Nathan Church CF Miles Mikolas P	New York Yankees WIN 59.8% of sims by 1.4 Prediction	New York Yankees wins 8-4
2:20 PM	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs Andrew Heaney vs Javier Assad -198 or 66.4% +/- Lineups Ronny Simon RF Spencer Horwitz 1B Bryan Reynolds DH Tommy Pham LF Nick Gonzales 2B Jack Suwinski CF Jared Triolo SS Joey Bart C Isiah Kiner-Falefa 3B Andrew Heaney P Michael Busch 1B Kyle Tucker RF Seiya Suzuki DH Pete Crow-Armstrong CF Carson Kelly C Ian Happ LF Nico Hoerner 2B Dansby Swanson SS Matt Shaw 3B Javier Assad P	Chicago Cubs WIN 61.0% of sims by 0.7 Prediction	Chicago Cubs wins 4-3
3:10 PM	Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies Nabil Crismatt vs Antonio Senzatela -127 or 55.9% +/- Lineups Geraldo Perdomo SS Blaze Alexander 3B Corbin Carroll RF Lourdes Gurriel DH Jake McCarthy LF Tyler Locklear 1B Alek Thomas CF Jose Herrera C Connor Kaiser 2B Nabil Crismatt P Tyler Freeman RF Mickey Moniak DH Ezequiel Tovar SS Jordan Beck LF Warming Bernabel 1B Brenton Doyle CF Braxton Fulford C Orlando Arcia 3B Ryan Ritter 2B Antonio Senzatela P	Arizona Diamondbacks WIN 50.4% of sims by 0.2 Prediction	Colorado Rockies wins 6-5
4:05 PM	Los Angeles Angels @ Athletics Jose Soriano vs Jeffrey Springs -110 or 52.4% +/- Lineups Zach Neto SS Nolan Schanuel 1B Mike Trout DH Taylor Ward LF Jo Adell RF Logan O'Hoppe C Christian Moore 2B Oswald Peraza 3B Bryce Teodosio CF Jose Soriano P Nick Kurtz 1B Shea Langeliers C Brent Rooker DH Tyler Soderstrom LF Lawrence Butler CF Darell Hernaiz SS JJ Bleday RF Brett Harris 3B Luis Urias 2B Jeffrey Springs P	Athletics WIN 59.8% of sims by 0.8 Prediction	Los Angeles Angels wins 11-5
4:05 PM	Tampa Bay Rays @ San Francisco Giants Ryan Pepiot vs Logan Webb -138 or 58.0% +/- Lineups Chandler Simpson LF Yandy Diaz DH Brandon Lowe 2B Junior Caminero 3B Jake Mangum RF Ha-Seong Kim SS Hunter Feduccia C Everson Pereira CF Bob Seymour 1B Ryan Pepiot P Jung Hoo Lee CF Heliot Ramos LF Rafael Devers DH Willy Adames SS Dominic Smith 1B Christian Koss 3B Patrick Bailey C Drew Gilbert RF Tyler Fitzgerald 2B Logan Webb P	Tampa Bay Rays WIN 52.0% of sims by 0.5 Prediction	San Francisco Giants wins 7-1
4:10 PM	San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Yu Darvish vs Tyler Glasnow -144 or 59.0% +/- Lineups Fernando Tatis RF Luis Arraez DH Manny Machado 3B Jackson Merrill CF Xander Bogaerts SS Ryan O'Hearn 1B Ramon Laureano LF Jake Cronenworth 2B Freddy Fermin C Yu Darvish P Shohei Ohtani DH Mookie Betts SS Will Smith C Freddie Freeman 1B Teoscar Hernandez RF Andy Pages CF Michael Conforto LF Alex Freeland 2B Buddy Kennedy 3B Tyler Glasnow P	Los Angeles Dodgers WIN 58.8% of sims by 0.7 Prediction	Los Angeles Dodgers wins 5-4
7:10 PM	Seattle Mariners @ New York Mets George Kirby vs Clay Holmes -105 or 51.2% +/- Lineups Randy Arozarena LF Cal Raleigh C Julio Rodriguez CF Josh Naylor 1B Eugenio Suarez 3B Jorge Polanco DH Dominic Canzone RF J.P. Crawford SS Cole Young 2B George Kirby P Francisco Lindor SS Juan Soto RF Brandon Nimmo LF Pete Alonso 1B Jeff McNeil DH Francisco Alvarez C Brett Baty 2B Mark Vientos 3B Cedric Mullins CF Clay Holmes P	New York Mets WIN 50.3% of sims by 0.1 Prediction	New York Mets wins 7-3

Legend/Totals

Correct Picks	7 (46.7%)
Incorrect Picks	8 (53.3%)
Final Margin within 5 Runs	3 (20.0%)
Beat the Spread	6 (40.0%)

MLB Predictions for 8/17/2025

Submit Feedback