How does the MLB Game Simulator work?

The MLB Game Simulator uses at-bat-by-at-bat modeling, pitcher data, and player stats to predict outcomes, scores, and performances.

Are MLB predictions updated daily?

Yes. Baseball predictions and player stat projections are updated daily to reflect pitching matchups, lineups, and recent performance.

How accurate are the MLB predictions?

Accuracy varies by day and matchup. We publish performance summaries so you can track results over time.

How often are predictions refreshed?

Predictions refresh daily and may update during the day when key injuries or depth chart changes occur.

MLB Predictions for 8/4/2023

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Odds: Line | O/U | Money Line

8/4/2023 MLB Games
Time *ET	Matchup	Prediction	Actual	Result
2:20 PM	Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs Max Fried vs Kyle Hendricks -150 or 60.0%	Chicago Cubs WIN 50.1% of sims by 0.1 Prediction	Atlanta Braves wins 8-0
6:40 PM	Washington Nationals @ Cincinnati Reds Patrick Corbin vs Graham Ashcraft -192 or 65.8%	Cincinnati Reds WIN 71.0% of sims by 2.1 Prediction	Washington Nationals wins 6-3
6:40 PM	Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers Zack Littell vs Reese Olson -120 or 54.5%	Tampa Bay Rays WIN 52.3% of sims by 0.4 Prediction	Tampa Bay Rays wins 8-0
7:05 PM	New York Mets @ Baltimore Orioles David Peterson vs Dean Kremer -148 or 59.7%	Baltimore Orioles WIN 55.9% of sims by 0.4 Prediction	Baltimore Orioles wins 10-3
7:05 PM	Houston Astros @ New York Yankees Hunter Brown vs Luis Severino -150 or 60.0%	Houston Astros WIN 68.9% of sims by 2.6 Prediction	Houston Astros wins 7-3
7:05 PM	Kansas City Royals @ Philadelphia Phillies Jordan Lyles vs Aaron Nola -267 or 72.8%	Philadelphia Phillies WIN 60.5% of sims by 0.7 Prediction	Kansas City Royals wins 7-5
7:10 PM	Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox Alek Manoah vs James Paxton -170 or 63.0%	Boston Red Sox WIN 65.3% of sims by 1.6 Prediction	Toronto Blue Jays wins 7-3
7:10 PM	Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians Mike Clevinger vs Logan Allen -163 or 62.0%	Cleveland Guardians WIN 55.3% of sims by 0.1 Prediction	Cleveland Guardians wins 4-2
8:05 PM	Miami Marlins @ Texas Rangers Jesus Luzardo vs Jordan Montgomery -142 or 58.7%	Texas Rangers WIN 66.1% of sims by 1.4 Prediction	Texas Rangers wins 6-2
8:10 PM	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers Quinn Priester vs Colin Rea -185 or 64.9%	Milwaukee Brewers WIN 57.6% of sims by 0.5 Prediction	Pittsburgh Pirates wins 8-4
8:10 PM	Arizona Diamondbacks @ Minnesota Twins Merrill Kelly vs Bailey Ober -120 or 54.5%	Minnesota Twins WIN 52.8% of sims by 0.1 Prediction	Minnesota Twins wins 3-2
8:15 PM	Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals Chris Flexen vs Adam Wainwright -194 or 66.0%	St. Louis Cardinals WIN 51.0% of sims by 0.3 Prediction	Colorado Rockies wins 9-4
9:38 PM	Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels Luis Castillo vs Reid Detmers -105 or 51.2%	Los Angeles Angels WIN 57.5% of sims by 0.3 Prediction	Seattle Mariners wins 9-7
9:40 PM	Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres Bobby Miller vs Yu Darvish -130 or 56.5%	Los Angeles Dodgers WIN 55.6% of sims by 0.7 Prediction	Los Angeles Dodgers wins 10-5

Legend/Totals

Correct Picks	9 (64.3%)
Incorrect Picks	5 (35.7%)
Final Margin within 5 Runs	1 (7.1%)
Beat the Spread	6 (42.9%)

MLB Predictions for 8/4/2023

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