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The MLB Game Simulator uses at-bat-by-at-bat modeling, pitcher data, and player stats to predict outcomes, scores, and performances.

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Yes. Baseball predictions and player stat projections are updated daily to reflect pitching matchups, lineups, and recent performance.

How accurate are the MLB predictions?

Accuracy varies by day and matchup. We publish performance summaries so you can track results over time.

How often are predictions refreshed?

Predictions refresh daily and may update during the day when key injuries or depth chart changes occur.

MLB Predictions for 8/4/2025

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Odds: Line | O/U | Money Line

8/4/2025 MLB Games
Time *ET	Matchup	Prediction	Actual	Result
6:40 PM	San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates Justin Verlander vs Johan Oviedo -107 or 51.7% +/- Lineups Heliot Ramos LF Rafael Devers 1B Willy Adames SS Matt Chapman 3B Dominic Smith DH Casey Schmitt 2B Jung Hoo Lee CF Patrick Bailey C Grant McCray RF Justin Verlander P Spencer Horwitz 1B Tommy Pham LF Nick Gonzales 2B Oneil Cruz CF Andrew McCutchen DH Liover Peguero SS Jack Suwinski RF Joey Bart C Isiah Kiner-Falefa 3B Johan Oviedo P	Pittsburgh Pirates WIN 56.0% of sims by 0.2 Prediction	Pittsburgh Pirates wins 5-4
6:40 PM	Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers Darren McCaughan vs Casey Mize -180 or 64.3% +/- Lineups Austin Martin CF Matt Wallner RF Ryan Jeffers C Kody Clemens 1B Royce Lewis 3B Trevor Larnach DH Alan Roden LF Brooks Lee SS Edouard Julien 2B Darren McCaughan P Colt Keith 3B Gleyber Torres 2B Kerry Carpenter LF Riley Greene DH Spencer Torkelson 1B Wenceel Perez RF Zach McKinstry SS Dillon Dingler C Javier Baez CF Casey Mize P	Detroit Tigers WIN 62.5% of sims by 1.1 Prediction	Detroit Tigers wins 6-3
6:40 PM	Houston Astros @ Miami Marlins Jason Alexander vs Sandy Alcantara -131 or 56.7% +/- Lineups Jeremy Pena SS Jesus Sanchez LF Jose Altuve 2B Carlos Correa 3B Christian Walker 1B Victor Caratini DH Yainer Diaz C Taylor Trammell CF Cam Smith RF Jason Alexander P Xavier Edwards 2B Kyle Stowers LF Agustin Ramirez C Liam Hicks DH Otto Lopez SS Jakob Marsee CF Troy Johnston 1B Dane Myers RF Graham Pauley 3B Sandy Alcantara P	Miami Marlins WIN 55.6% of sims by 0.4 Prediction	Houston Astros wins 8-2
6:45 PM	Baltimore Orioles @ Philadelphia Phillies Cade Povich vs Jesus Luzardo -203 or 67.0% +/- Lineups Jackson Holliday 2B Jordan Westburg 3B Gunnar Henderson SS Adley Rutschman C Tyler O'Neill DH Jeremiah Jackson RF Colton Cowser LF Coby Mayo 1B Dylan Carlson CF Cade Povich P Trea Turner SS Kyle Schwarber DH Bryce Harper 1B J.T. Realmuto C Nick Castellanos RF Harrison Bader CF Otto Kemp 3B Edmundo Sosa 2B Weston Wilson LF Jesus Luzardo P	Philadelphia Phillies WIN 60.9% of sims by 0.7 Prediction	Philadelphia Phillies wins 13-3
7:10 PM	Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox Bailey Falter vs Brayan Bello -162 or 61.8% +/- Lineups Jonathan India 2B Bobby Witt SS Vinnie Pasquantino 1B Maikel Garcia 3B Salvador Perez C Mike Yastrzemski RF Adam Frazier DH John Rave LF Kyle Isbel CF Bailey Falter P Romy Gonzalez 2B Alex Bregman 3B Roman Anthony RF Rob Refsnyder DH Trevor Story SS Ceddanne Rafaela CF Jarren Duran LF Abraham Toro 1B Connor Wong C Brayan Bello P	Boston Red Sox WIN 58.3% of sims by 0.6 Prediction	Boston Red Sox wins 8-5
7:10 PM	Cleveland Guardians @ New York Mets Slade Cecconi vs Sean Manaea -204 or 67.1% +/- Lineups Steven Kwan LF Angel Martinez CF Jose Ramirez 3B David Fry DH Carlos Santana 1B Gabriel Arias SS Nolan Jones RF Brayan Rocchio 2B Austin Hedges C Slade Cecconi P Brandon Nimmo LF Francisco Lindor SS Juan Soto RF Pete Alonso DH Jeff McNeil 2B Mark Vientos 1B Cedric Mullins CF Ronny Mauricio 3B Francisco Alvarez C Sean Manaea P	New York Mets WIN 72.0% of sims by 2.3 Prediction	Cleveland Guardians wins 7-6
7:15 PM	Milwaukee Brewers @ Atlanta Braves Quinn Priester vs Erick Fedde -114 or 53.3% +/- Lineups Brice Turang 2B William Contreras C Andrew Vaughn 1B Christian Yelich DH Isaac Collins LF Blake Perkins CF Anthony Seigler 3B Brandon Lockridge RF Joey Ortiz SS Quinn Priester P Jurickson Profar LF Matt Olson 1B Drake Baldwin C Sean Murphy DH Michael Harris CF Ozzie Albies 2B Eli White RF Nacho Alvarez 3B Nick Allen SS Erick Fedde P	Milwaukee Brewers WIN 58.3% of sims by 1.1 Prediction	Milwaukee Brewers wins 3-1
8:05 PM	Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs Nick Lodolo vs Michael Soroka -135 or 57.4% +/- Lineups TJ Friedl CF Matt McLain 2B Elly De La Cruz SS Austin Hays LF Gavin Lux DH Spencer Steer 1B Tyler Stephenson C Jake Fraley RF Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B Nick Lodolo P Nico Hoerner 2B Kyle Tucker RF Seiya Suzuki DH Carson Kelly C Willi Castro CF Justin Turner 1B Ian Happ LF Dansby Swanson SS Matt Shaw 3B Michael Soroka P	Cincinnati Reds WIN 50.3% of sims by 0.2 Prediction	Cincinnati Reds wins 3-2
8:05 PM	New York Yankees @ Texas Rangers Max Fried vs Patrick Corbin -118 or 54.1% +/- Lineups Paul Goldschmidt 1B Amed Rosario RF Cody Bellinger CF Giancarlo Stanton DH Austin Slater LF Jazz Chisholm 2B Anthony Volpe SS Austin Wells C Jose Caballero 3B Max Fried P Sam Haggerty LF Corey Seager SS Marcus Semien 2B Adolis Garcia RF Wyatt Langford CF Josh Jung DH Josh Smith 3B Jonah Heim C Ezequiel Duran 1B Patrick Corbin P	New York Yankees WIN 66.5% of sims by 1.8 Prediction	Texas Rangers wins 8-5
8:40 PM	Toronto Blue Jays @ Colorado Rockies Eric Lauer vs Tanner Gordon -180 or 64.3% +/- Lineups Nathan Lukes RF Bo Bichette DH Vladimir Guerrero 1B Addison Barger 3B Alejandro Kirk C Daulton Varsho CF Ernie Clement SS Joey Loperfido LF Davis Schneider 2B Eric Lauer P Tyler Freeman RF Ezequiel Tovar SS Hunter Goodman C Jordan Beck LF Warming Bernabel 1B Brenton Doyle CF Thairo Estrada 2B Braxton Fulford DH Kyle Farmer 3B Tanner Gordon P	Toronto Blue Jays WIN 54.5% of sims by 1.0 Prediction	Toronto Blue Jays wins 15-1
9:38 PM	Tampa Bay Rays @ Los Angeles Angels Adrian Houser vs Yusei Kikuchi -120 or 54.5% +/- Lineups Yandy Diaz 1B Ha-Seong Kim 2B Junior Caminero 3B Christopher Morel DH Jonny DeLuca CF Josh Lowe RF Taylor Walls SS Jake Mangum LF Nick Fortes C Adrian Houser P Zach Neto SS Nolan Schanuel 1B Mike Trout DH Taylor Ward LF Yoan Moncada 3B Jo Adell RF Travis d'Arnaud C Christian Moore 2B Bryce Teodosio CF Yusei Kikuchi P	Los Angeles Angels WIN 67.8% of sims by 1.8 Prediction	Los Angeles Angels wins 5-1
9:40 PM	San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks JP Sears vs Brandon Pfaadt -110 or 52.4% +/- Lineups Fernando Tatis RF Luis Arraez 1B Manny Machado 3B Jackson Merrill CF Xander Bogaerts SS Gavin Sheets DH Ramon Laureano LF Jake Cronenworth 2B Freddy Fermin C JP Sears P Ketel Marte 2B Corbin Carroll DH Geraldo Perdomo SS Lourdes Gurriel LF Tyler Locklear 1B James McCann C Blaze Alexander 3B Alek Thomas CF Jorge Barrosa RF Brandon Pfaadt P	Arizona Diamondbacks WIN 62.5% of sims by 1.0 Prediction	Arizona Diamondbacks wins 6-2
10:10 PM	St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers Sonny Gray vs Tyler Glasnow -171 or 63.1% +/- Lineups Brendan Donovan 2B Ivan Herrera DH Alec Burleson LF Willson Contreras 1B Lars Nootbaar RF Masyn Winn SS Thomas Saggese 3B Pedro Pages C Victor Scott CF Sonny Gray P Shohei Ohtani DH Mookie Betts SS Freddie Freeman 1B Will Smith C Max Muncy 3B Teoscar Hernandez RF Michael Conforto LF Andy Pages CF Miguel Rojas 2B Tyler Glasnow P	Los Angeles Dodgers WIN 67.2% of sims by 1.6 Prediction	St. Louis Cardinals wins 3-2

Legend/Totals

Correct Picks	9 (69.2%)
Incorrect Picks	4 (30.8%)
Final Margin within 5 Runs	3 (23.1%)
Beat the Spread	6 (46.2%)

MLB Predictions for 8/4/2025

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