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The MLB Game Simulator uses at-bat-by-at-bat modeling, pitcher data, and player stats to predict outcomes, scores, and performances.

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Yes. Baseball predictions and player stat projections are updated daily to reflect pitching matchups, lineups, and recent performance.

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Accuracy varies by day and matchup. We publish performance summaries so you can track results over time.

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Predictions refresh daily and may update during the day when key injuries or depth chart changes occur.

MLB Predictions for 9/30/2023

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Odds: Line | O/U | Money Line

9/30/2023 MLB Games
Time *ET	Matchup	Prediction	Actual	Result
1:10 PM	Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers Triston McKenzie vs Beau Brieske -105 or 51.2% +/- Lineups Steven Kwan LF Jose Ramirez 3B Josh Naylor 1B Kole Calhoun DH Andres Gimenez 2B Brayan Rocchio SS Will Brennan RF Myles Straw CF Cam Gallagher C Triston McKenzie P Parker Meadows CF Spencer Torkelson 1B Miguel Cabrera DH Kerry Carpenter RF Matt Vierling 3B Zach McKinstry SS Andy Ibanez 2B Akil Baddoo LF Carson Kelly C Beau Brieske P	Cleveland Guardians WIN 51.6% of sims by 0.2 Prediction	Detroit Tigers wins 8-0
3:07 PM	Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays Cooper Criswell vs Hyun Jin Ryu -142 or 58.7% +/- Lineups Junior Caminero 3B Randy Arozarena LF Harold Ramirez DH Isaac Paredes 1B Curtis Mead 2B Josh Lowe RF Manuel Margot CF Christian Bethancourt C Taylor Walls SS Cooper Criswell P George Springer DH Cavan Biggio RF Vladimir Guerrero 1B Bo Bichette SS Alejandro Kirk C Kevin Kiermaier CF Matt Chapman 3B Whit Merrifield 2B Daulton Varsho LF Hyun Jin Ryu P	Tampa Bay Rays WIN 53.7% of sims by 0.4 Prediction	Tampa Bay Rays wins 7-5
4:10 PM	Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Taijuan Walker vs Tylor Megill -110 or 52.4% +/- Lineups Kyle Schwarber DH Edmundo Sosa SS Bryce Harper 1B J.T. Realmuto C Bryson Stott 2B Brandon Marsh CF Weston Wilson 3B Jake Cave LF Cristian Pache RF Taijuan Walker P Rafael Ortega CF Ronny Mauricio 3B Pete Alonso 1B Francisco Lindor SS DJ Stewart RF Brett Baty DH Luis Guillorme 2B Omar Narvaez C Danny Mendick LF Tylor Megill P	Philadelphia Phillies WIN 52.5% of sims by 0.3 Prediction	New York Mets wins 4-3
6:35 PM	Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates Bryan Hoeing vs Quinn Priester -110 or 52.4% +/- Lineups Jorge Soler DH Josh Bell 1B Jake Burger 3B Jazz Chisholm CF Bryan De La Cruz LF Jesus Sanchez RF Jon Berti 2B Garrett Hampson SS Jacob Stallings C Bryan Hoeing P Jared Triolo 1B Bryan Reynolds LF Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B Jack Suwinski RF Henry Davis DH Endy Rodriguez C Liover Peguero SS Ji Hwan Bae CF Nick Gonzales 2B Quinn Priester P	Miami Marlins WIN 54.0% of sims by 0.7 Prediction	Miami Marlins wins 7-3
7:10 PM	New York Yankees @ Kansas City Royals Clarke Schmidt vs Alec Marsh -114 or 53.3% +/- Lineups DJ LeMahieu 3B Aaron Judge DH Gleyber Torres 2B Jake Bauers 1B Oswald Peraza SS Kyle Higashioka C Oswaldo Cabrera RF Everson Pereira LF Estevan Florial CF Clarke Schmidt P Maikel Garcia 3B Bobby Witt SS Salvador Perez DH MJ Melendez LF Nelson Velazquez RF Michael Massey 2B Drew Waters CF Logan Porter C Nick Pratto 1B Alec Marsh P	Kansas City Royals WIN 51.7% of sims by 0.0 Prediction	New York Yankees wins 5-2
7:10 PM	Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers Jordan Wicks vs Eric Lauer -110 or 52.4% +/- Lineups Christopher Morel 2B Seiya Suzuki RF Ian Happ LF Cody Bellinger CF Dansby Swanson SS Yan Gomes C Jeimer Candelario 3B Patrick Wisdom 1B Alexander Canario DH Jordan Wicks P Mark Canha LF William Contreras DH Carlos Santana 1B Willy Adames SS Josh Donaldson 3B Tyrone Taylor RF Victor Caratini C Andruw Monasterio 2B Blake Perkins CF Eric Lauer P	Chicago Cubs WIN 50.4% of sims by 0.3 Prediction	Chicago Cubs wins 10-6
7:10 PM	San Diego Padres @ Chicago White Sox Michael Wacha vs Mike Clevinger -125 or 55.6% +/- Lineups Xander Bogaerts SS Ha-Seong Kim 2B Juan Soto DH Fernando Tatis RF Jurickson Profar LF Ji-Man Choi 1B Matthew Batten 3B Trent Grisham CF Brett Sullivan C Michael Wacha P Tim Anderson SS Yoan Moncada 3B Eloy Jimenez DH Andrew Vaughn 1B Gavin Sheets RF Yasmani Grandal C Trayce Thompson CF Tyler Naquin LF Lenyn Sosa 2B Mike Clevinger P	San Diego Padres WIN 56.2% of sims by 0.9 Prediction	San Diego Padres wins 6-1
7:15 PM	Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals Connor Phillips vs Drew Rom -114 or 53.3% +/- Lineups Jonathan India 2B Nick Senzel LF Spencer Steer 1B Christian Encarnacion-Strand DH Tyler Stephenson C Noelvi Marte 3B TJ Friedl CF Elly De La Cruz SS Stuart Fairchild RF Connor Phillips P Tommy Edman 2B Paul Goldschmidt DH Lars Nootbaar CF Jordan Walker RF Ivan Herrera C Richie Palacios LF Luken Baker 1B Jose Fermin 3B Masyn Winn SS Drew Rom P	Cincinnati Reds WIN 55.4% of sims by 1.0 Prediction	St. Louis Cardinals wins 15-6
7:15 PM	Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners Martin Perez vs Luis Castillo -148 or 59.7% +/- Lineups Marcus Semien 2B Corey Seager SS Robbie Grossman DH Adolis Garcia RF Nathaniel Lowe 1B Josh Jung 3B Jonah Heim C Leody Taveras CF Evan Carter LF Martin Perez P J.P. Crawford SS Julio Rodriguez CF Eugenio Suarez 3B Cal Raleigh C Teoscar Hernandez RF Dylan Moore LF Ty France 1B Josh Rojas 2B Sam Haggerty DH Luis Castillo P	Texas Rangers WIN 51.1% of sims by 0.4 Prediction	Texas Rangers wins 6-1
7:15 PM	Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets M. Plassmeyer vs Jose Quintana -110 or 52.4% +/- Lineups Kyle Schwarber DH Trea Turner SS Alec Bohm 3B Nick Castellanos RF Edmundo Sosa 2B Weston Wilson 1B Garrett Stubbs C Johan Rojas CF Cristian Pache LF M. Plassmeyer P Rafael Ortega CF Ronny Mauricio 2B Pete Alonso DH Francisco Lindor SS Mark Vientos 1B Brett Baty 3B Francisco Alvarez C DJ Stewart RF Tim Locastro LF Jose Quintana P	New York Mets WIN 61.0% of sims by 0.8 Prediction	New York Mets wins 11-4
7:15 PM	Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles Kutter Crawford vs Kyle Gibson -130 or 56.5% +/- Lineups Alex Verdugo RF Rafael Devers 3B Justin Turner 1B Masataka Yoshida DH Adam Duvall CF Wilyer Abreu LF Trevor Story SS Enmanuel Valdez 2B Reese McGuire C Kutter Crawford P Gunnar Henderson SS Adley Rutschman C Anthony Santander DH Ryan O'Hearn RF Ryan Mountcastle 1B Cedric Mullins CF Aaron Hicks LF Ramon Urias 3B Adam Frazier 2B Kyle Gibson P	Boston Red Sox WIN 50.4% of sims by 0.4 Prediction	Baltimore Orioles wins 5-2
7:20 PM	Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves Joan Adon vs Spencer Strider -375 or 78.9% +/- Lineups CJ Abrams SS Lane Thomas RF Keibert Ruiz C Joey Meneses DH Luis Garcia 2B Dominic Smith 1B Carter Kieboom 3B Jake Alu LF Jacob Young CF Joan Adon P Ronald Acuna RF Ozzie Albies 2B Austin Riley 3B Matt Olson 1B Marcell Ozuna DH Michael Harris CF Sean Murphy C Eddie Rosario LF Orlando Arcia SS Spencer Strider P	Atlanta Braves WIN 72.0% of sims by 2.0 Prediction	Atlanta Braves wins 5-3
8:10 PM	Minnesota Twins @ Colorado Rockies Chris Paddack vs Matt Koch -120 or 54.5% +/- Lineups Edouard Julien 2B Willi Castro SS Alex Kirilloff 1B Max Kepler RF Donovan Solano 3B Matt Wallner LF Trevor Larnach DH Christian Vazquez C Michael Taylor CF Chris Paddack P Charlie Blackmon RF Brendan Rodgers 2B Nolan Jones LF Kris Bryant 1B Elehuris Montero DH Elias Diaz C Ezequiel Tovar SS Alan Trejo 3B Brenton Doyle CF Matt Koch P	Minnesota Twins WIN 59.3% of sims by 1.4 Prediction	Minnesota Twins wins 14-6
8:10 PM	Houston Astros @ Arizona Diamondbacks Justin Verlander vs Merrill Kelly -110 or 52.4% +/- Lineups Jose Altuve 2B Alex Bregman 3B Yordan Alvarez DH Kyle Tucker RF Jose Abreu 1B Chas McCormick LF Mauricio Dubon CF Jeremy Pena SS Martin Maldonado C Justin Verlander P Corbin Carroll RF Ketel Marte 2B Tommy Pham DH Christian Walker 1B Alek Thomas CF Lourdes Gurriel LF Evan Longoria 3B Gabriel Moreno C Geraldo Perdomo SS Merrill Kelly P	Arizona Diamondbacks WIN 53.6% of sims by 0.2 Prediction	Houston Astros wins 1-0
9:05 PM	Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants Clayton Kershaw vs Tristan Beck -150 or 60.0% +/- Lineups Mookie Betts 2B Freddie Freeman 1B Max Muncy 3B J.D. Martinez DH Jason Heyward RF James Outman CF Chris Taylor SS David Peralta LF Austin Barnes C Clayton Kershaw P Austin Slater DH Luis Matos RF Thairo Estrada 2B Wilmer Flores 1B Marco Luciano SS Patrick Bailey C Casey Schmitt 3B Heliot Ramos LF Tyler Fitzgerald CF Tristan Beck P	San Francisco Giants WIN 53.2% of sims by 0.1 Prediction	San Francisco Giants wins 2-1
9:07 PM	Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels Joe Boyle vs Kenny Rosenberg -120 or 54.5% +/- Lineups Ryan Noda 1B Zack Gelof 2B Brent Rooker RF JJ Bleday LF Shea Langeliers C Jordan Diaz 3B Carlos Perez DH Nick Allen SS Esteury Ruiz CF Joe Boyle P Nolan Schanuel 1B Zach Neto SS Brandon Drury DH Mike Moustakas 3B Logan O'Hoppe C Jo Adell RF Mickey Moniak CF Randal Grichuk LF David Fletcher 2B Kenny Rosenberg P	Athletics WIN 57.2% of sims by 0.8 Prediction	Athletics wins 7-3

Legend/Totals

Correct Picks	10 (62.5%)
Incorrect Picks	6 (37.5%)
Final Margin within 5 Runs	1 (6.3%)
Beat the Spread	8 (50.0%)

MLB Predictions for 9/30/2023

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